Correction – I wrote initially that Bernie Sanders got more delegates than Hillary Clinton in Missouri because many Hillary Clinton supporters didn’t show up. However, the Missouri Democratic Party explains that this wouldn’t alter the vote because the vote is ‘binding’ based on sections III.A.6.a, III.C.4.a, III.D.4.a in the Delegate Selection plan. The delegates selected in the April 7 mass meetings were not selected, as I initially thought, to vote for the candidate of their choice. The Missouri Democratic Party already issued a document declaring that Hillary Clinton wins 36 delegates compared to 35 delegates for Bernie Sanders. This means that Clinton is now leading by 208 delegates with 1,306 pledged delegates compared to 1,098 delegates for Sanders.
On March 15, Hillary Clinton narrowly won the Missouri primary with 49.6% of the vote, compared to Bernie Sanders’ 49.4% share of the vote. Since delegates are allocated proportionally, it was projected that Hillary Clinton would win 36 of the 71 pledged delegates, and Sanders would walk away with the other 35 delegates.
But the delegate selection process is not that simple. The voters in the primary do not directly elect the 71 national convention delegates as one might think. Instead, delegates from each candidate who are selected proportionally attend Mass Meetings on April 7 at the different wards, townships and counties across the state. The purpose of these meetings is to select District-Level delegates who would later elect the 71 pledged delegates to represent the candidates in the Democratic National Convention.
This process made sense more than half a century ago when communications were limited and technology nonexistent.
However, just like in Nevada, many Hillary Clinton delegates didn’t show up to these meetings and Bernie Sanders was able to snatch more District-Level delegates than what he was supposed to have. Reported delegate allocation by the Missouri Democratic Party shows that 681 delegates (51.4%) were allocated to Bernie Sanders and 644 delegates (48.6%) allocated for Hillary Clinton.
There will be eight Congressional District Conventions on April 28 where 46 delegates will be selected for the National Democratic Convention. On May 7, 9 pledged PLEO (Party Leaders and Elected Official) would be elected based on the results of the primary. The voters would then select the last 15 pledged delegates on June 18. The table below shows that if all District-Level delegates show up to the upcoming conventions, Sanders should get 37 pledged delegates and Clinton would get 34 delegates.
With the change in the delegate count, Clinton is now leading by 204 delegates with 1,304 pledged delegates compared to 1,100 delegates for Sanders. This is much lower than the 250 delegate gap reported by the Associated Press. It’s even lower than the 214 delegate gap reported by the Sanders campaign.
Here is a state-by-state summary of the delegate count for each candidate based on the Green Papers: